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Final
2021-03-2001:05Joker Marchant Stadium
8-1
Tigers
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Blue Jays0113120008150
Tigers000001000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 43%
Tigers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 59%
Opponent allowing 41%
Tigers scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 12%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 35%
Tigers scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 12%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Tigers defense
46%R 50% · RA 43%
Tigers offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 25% · RA 20%
Sample 4Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 69% · Season 69% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-13pp
7–9 Late
55%
-3pp
F5 first five
56%
-5pp
F9 full game
55%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
0491318142112221163784912514863107518359ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 78Runs Allowed 54

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
051116221110169261736947125101612 71268259ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 72Runs Allowed 69
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#341% 7/17#159% 10/1729% 5/1729% 5/1724% 4/1729% 5/1723% 3/1311% 1/9#250% 2/4-
RA12% 2/1712% 2/17#324% 4/1724% 4/17#135% 6/1724% 4/17#233% 5/1514% 1/720% 1/5-
TigersR29% 5/1724% 4/1718% 3/1712% 2/1729% 5/17#331% 5/16#143% 6/14#240% 4/1025% 2/8-
RA#335% 6/17#241% 7/1735% 6/1729% 5/1724% 4/176% 1/160% 0/1427% 3/11#143% 3/7-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.