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Final
2021-03-1901:10Clover Park
3-1
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals010001100370
Mets100000000161

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 43%
Mets scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 36% · RA 29%
Sample 14Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 82% · Season 82% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+7pp
7–9 Late
52%
-7pp
F5 first five
56%
-4pp
F9 full game
58%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games
037101410814627638748759666472118399ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 57Runs Allowed 64

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games
0491318991552353654146571261137468359ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 56
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR36% 5/1414% 2/1421% 3/14#243% 6/1436% 5/14#150% 7/14#338% 5/138% 1/1318% 2/11-
RA#336% 5/1436% 5/1421% 3/1436% 5/1414% 2/1429% 4/1423% 3/13#146% 6/13#240% 4/10-
MetsR#336% 5/1429% 4/147% 1/1421% 3/14#150% 7/1436% 5/14#238% 5/1318% 2/1114% 1/7-
RA#243% 6/1414% 2/1421% 3/1429% 4/1421% 3/14#150% 7/1415% 2/1318% 2/11#333% 3/9-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.