Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-03-1801:05Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mets

Away

2-3

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5	0
Marlins	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2X	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 21%

Marlins scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 46%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 29%

Marlins scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 54%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 23%

Opponent allowing 36%

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

30%R 38% · RA 21%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

48%R 50% · RA 46%

Sample 13Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 78% · Season 78% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+5pp

7–9 Late

39%

-20pp

F5 first five

56%

-5pp

F9 full game

52%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 60Runs Allowed 53

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 54Runs Allowed 43

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	#238% 5/13	31% 4/13	8% 1/13	23% 3/13	#154% 7/13	#338% 5/13	33% 4/12	20% 2/10	17% 1/6	-
Mets	RA	#246% 6/13	15% 2/13	23% 3/13	#331% 4/13	15% 2/13	#154% 7/13	17% 2/12	20% 2/10	25% 2/8	-
Marlins	R	#150% 7/14	21% 3/14	21% 3/14	#250% 7/14	7% 1/14	#329% 4/14	23% 3/13	22% 2/9	22% 2/9	-
Marlins	RA	21% 3/14	14% 2/14	14% 2/14	#136% 5/14	#236% 5/14	#329% 4/14	15% 2/13	0% 0/9	22% 2/9	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.