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Final
2026-06-0306:45Nationals Park
Marlins
Away
7-3
Nationals
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Marlins000040003781
Nationals000001200370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Nationals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Marlins defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 72% · Season 53% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
64%
+10pp
F9 full game
57%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
015314763385012924219263393442730523436141674229816189101210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 257Runs Allowed 282

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
014294459473013638227303384643636524356453373936821259142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 327Runs Allowed 330
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#136% 22/6130% 18/6123% 14/61#333% 20/6126% 16/6123% 14/6118% 11/61#236% 22/6122% 10/4675% 3/4
RA#234% 21/6121% 13/6130% 18/6130% 18/61#333% 20/61#136% 22/6113% 8/6128% 17/6125% 11/44100% 4/4
NationalsR#233% 20/6128% 17/61#134% 21/61#333% 20/6133% 20/6128% 17/6131% 19/6128% 17/6122% 11/4957% 8/14
RA26% 16/6128% 17/6133% 20/61#136% 22/61#234% 21/6121% 13/61#334% 21/6128% 17/6133% 17/5171% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.