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2021-03-1501:05
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 45%
Astros scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 27%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
50%R 55% · RA 45%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
27%R 27% · RA 27%
Sample 11Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 77% · Season 77% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
-4pp
7–9 Late
53%
-6pp
F5 first five
55%
-7pp
F9 full game
56%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

11 games
036912881462733754745846647288399ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 52Runs Allowed 51

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

11 games
0257107615321832542557661676388 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 39Runs Allowed 42
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR36% 4/1118% 2/1127% 3/11#345% 5/1136% 4/11#155% 6/11#250% 5/1010% 1/1025% 2/8-
RA#145% 5/11#245% 5/1118% 2/1127% 3/119% 1/1127% 3/1130% 3/1040% 4/10#344% 4/9-
AstrosR#327% 3/1127% 3/119% 1/119% 1/1118% 2/1127% 3/1110% 1/10#229% 2/7#133% 2/6-
RA27% 3/1127% 3/1127% 3/1127% 3/11#236% 4/11#145% 5/11#330% 3/1014% 1/70% 0/5-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.