Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-0306:40Citizens Bank Park

Padres

Away

2-3

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	0
Phillies	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	X	3	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 5%

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -6pp

Inn.2

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Phillies defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Phillies offense × Padres defense

28%R 15% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp

Last 20 57% · Season 50% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-6pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

47%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 227Runs Allowed 233

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 230Runs Allowed 256

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	19% 11/58	17% 10/58	19% 11/58	#229% 17/58	#329% 17/58	26% 15/58	29% 17/58	29% 17/58	#130% 14/46	100% 4/4
Padres	RA	24% 14/58	#129% 17/58	22% 13/58	#228% 16/58	#326% 15/58	24% 14/58	26% 15/58	22% 13/58	12% 6/48	50% 2/4
Phillies	R	#132% 19/59	20% 12/59	20% 12/59	17% 10/59	#324% 14/59	24% 14/59	15% 9/59	#231% 18/59	21% 10/48	62% 5/8
Phillies	RA	22% 13/59	25% 15/59	#234% 20/59	25% 15/59	#327% 16/59	#136% 21/59	24% 14/59	25% 15/59	21% 10/47	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.