Sportify
Final
2021-03-1102:05Ed Smith Stadium
3-4
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays2000010--381
Orioles0020020-X470

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 56%
Orioles scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 50%
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 38%
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
44%R 33% · RA 56%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
39%R 44% · RA 33%
Sample 9Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 83% · Season 83% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
72%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-13pp
7–9 Late
60%
-0pp
F5 first five
69%
+6pp
F9 full game
62%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

9 games
0369137116223434544105956237518 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 40Runs Allowed 31

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

9 games
03691339117271032748452 66573982 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.42.12.8123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 34Runs Allowed 51
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#244% 4/9#156% 5/9#333% 3/933% 3/922% 2/933% 3/933% 2/633% 1/3--
RA11% 1/922% 2/933% 3/933% 3/9#244% 4/922% 2/9#343% 3/7#150% 1/20% 0/1-
OriolesR22% 2/911% 1/9#244% 4/922% 2/9#344% 4/911% 1/938% 3/825% 1/4#150% 1/2-
RA#156% 5/944% 4/9#256% 5/933% 3/922% 2/90% 0/938% 3/8#350% 2/40% 0/1-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.