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Final
2021-03-1007:05
4-4
Astros
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Nationals003010000470
Astros010000030X480

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
10%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 0%
Astros scoring tendency
80%
Own scoring 100%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 29%
Astros scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 57%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 57%
Opponent allowing 43%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
10%R 20% · RA 0%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
80%R 100% · RA 60%
Sample 2Combined vs league +34pp
Last 20 90% · Season 90% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+1pp
7–9 Late
74%
+16pp
F5 first five
61%
-1pp
F9 full game
68%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
025710761452433544545646627258189ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 40Runs Allowed 41

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
025710751132 33234145636 573388 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 28Runs Allowed 29
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR43% 3/729% 2/729% 2/7#257% 4/729% 2/7#357% 4/7#183% 5/617% 1/620% 1/5-
RA#257% 4/7#357% 4/729% 2/729% 2/714% 1/743% 3/717% 1/650% 3/6#160% 3/5-
AstrosR#243% 3/714% 1/70% 0/714% 1/714% 1/729% 2/70% 0/6#333% 1/3#1100% 2/2-
RA29% 2/7#143% 3/714% 1/729% 2/7#243% 3/7#343% 3/733% 2/633% 1/30% 0/2-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.