Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-0101:40Citi Field

Marlins

Away

1-10

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1
Mets	1	2	0	2	0	5	0	0	X	10	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 68% · Season 52% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+5pp

7–9 Late

48%

-5pp

F5 first five

60%

+7pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 249Runs Allowed 269

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 229Runs Allowed 251

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#236% 21/59	31% 18/59	24% 14/59	#332% 19/59	27% 16/59	22% 13/59	19% 11/59	#137% 22/59	20% 9/44	75% 3/4
Marlins	RA	#234% 20/59	19% 11/59	29% 17/59	29% 17/59	#334% 20/59	#136% 21/59	14% 8/59	29% 17/59	26% 11/43	100% 4/4
Mets	R	#228% 16/58	#131% 18/58	17% 10/58	24% 14/58	22% 13/58	#328% 16/58	28% 16/58	21% 12/58	12% 6/49	67% 10/15
Mets	RA	#329% 17/58	29% 17/58	#234% 20/58	21% 12/58	17% 10/58	#136% 21/58	21% 12/58	26% 15/58	20% 9/44	53% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.