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Final
2021-10-0403:20Truist Park
Mets
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Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Mets defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+8pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
61%
+5pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
0285785114759114676266653787746786580786815676572854479241510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 636Runs Allowed 663

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
03367101135108891555029484393664106845100696828578859845529141810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 785Runs Allowed 656
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR27% 43/16115% 24/16126% 42/161#329% 47/16125% 41/16126% 42/161#132% 49/15228% 38/138#230% 32/10761% 11/18
RA#329% 46/16125% 41/16122% 36/16123% 37/161#130% 49/161#230% 49/16122% 35/15627% 37/13825% 25/9956% 10/18
BravesR#334% 55/16019% 30/16034% 55/16027% 43/160#137% 59/160#237% 59/16029% 46/15925% 37/14827% 31/11539% 7/18
RA#131% 50/16022% 35/160#328% 45/16024% 39/16026% 41/16024% 38/160#231% 49/15826% 38/14828% 34/12267% 12/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.