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Final
2021-10-0403:05Oracle Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Giants scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Giants scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Giants scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Giants defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Giants offense × Padres defense
52%R 50% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 59% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
58%
+2pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
0306191122919719170264923717847379584846857277875866319221910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 725Runs Allowed 697

Giants — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
03672108145116781875527465366624101475756361027878260857569332610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 793Runs Allowed 590
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR29% 46/161#130% 49/16125% 40/16125% 41/16122% 35/161#230% 48/160#329% 46/16024% 37/15728% 33/11748% 13/27
RA27% 44/16127% 43/161#129% 47/16128% 45/161#229% 46/16128% 44/16025% 40/160#328% 44/15720% 24/11941% 11/27
GiantsR#134% 54/16127% 43/16126% 42/16125% 40/161#332% 51/16129% 47/161#232% 52/16128% 44/15829% 32/10961% 17/28
RA#128% 45/16121% 34/16122% 35/16120% 33/16120% 33/16121% 34/161#225% 40/16020% 32/158#324% 34/14061% 17/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.