Sportify
Final
2021-10-0403:05Nationals Park
7-5
Team123456789RHE
Red Sox0001013027130
Nationals011030000571

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Nationals defense
43%R 36% · RA 50%
Nationals offense × Red Sox defense
26%R 28% · RA 25%
Sample 14Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 69% · Season 59% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
62%
+9pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
03673110147114781107832738638687411781598946606979578836649362410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 822Runs Allowed 744

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
0346910413911199165662948939890470106574107674867708085672971810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 719Runs Allowed 813
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#334% 54/161#136% 58/16126% 42/16131% 50/16132% 52/161#234% 55/16024% 38/15833% 49/15022% 24/10876% 16/21
RA29% 47/161#331% 50/16125% 40/16130% 49/16127% 43/161#135% 56/16127% 42/15725% 38/150#232% 38/11957% 12/21
NationalsR#134% 55/16123% 37/161#231% 50/161#331% 50/16124% 38/16125% 40/16027% 42/15726% 38/14831% 37/12131% 4/13
RA32% 52/16120% 33/16131% 50/16131% 50/161#135% 56/16131% 49/160#333% 53/15928% 42/148#234% 37/10985% 11/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.