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Final
2021-10-0307:15Truist Park
Mets
Away
5-6
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Mets defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 59% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
61%
+5pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
0285785114759114676266633787546785579776815676372852479241510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 631Runs Allowed 657

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
0336710113510889155502928439166410584599686828578857845509141810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 779Runs Allowed 651
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR27% 43/16015% 24/16026% 42/160#229% 47/16026% 41/16026% 41/160#132% 49/15127% 37/137#329% 31/10661% 11/18
RA#329% 46/16026% 41/16022% 35/16022% 36/160#130% 48/160#230% 48/16023% 35/15527% 37/13725% 25/9956% 10/18
BravesR#335% 55/15919% 30/15934% 54/15926% 42/159#136% 58/159#236% 58/15929% 46/15825% 37/14727% 31/11539% 7/18
RA#131% 50/15922% 35/159#328% 45/15925% 39/15926% 41/15923% 37/159#231% 49/15725% 37/14727% 33/12167% 12/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.