Sportify
Final
2021-10-0304:05Nationals Park
5-3
Team123456789RHE
Red Sox000100004570
Nationals000000012350

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.7
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Nationals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Red Sox defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 63% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
55%
-0pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
03673110147114781107832738638587411781598946606979577832629362410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 817Runs Allowed 741

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
0346910413911199165662948939889470106574107674867698085468971810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 716Runs Allowed 808
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#334% 54/160#136% 58/16026% 42/16031% 49/16032% 52/160#235% 55/15924% 38/15733% 49/14921% 23/10776% 16/21
RA29% 47/160#331% 50/16025% 40/16031% 49/16027% 43/160#135% 56/16027% 42/15625% 37/149#231% 37/11857% 12/21
NationalsR#134% 55/16023% 37/160#231% 50/160#331% 50/16024% 38/16025% 40/15927% 42/15625% 37/14730% 36/12031% 4/13
RA32% 52/16021% 33/16031% 50/16031% 49/160#135% 56/16031% 49/159#234% 53/15829% 42/147#333% 36/10885% 11/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.