Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-06-0101:35Nationals Park

Padres

Away

2-4

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6	0
Nationals	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	X	4	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.2

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Nationals offense × Padres defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

59%

+5pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 225Runs Allowed 229

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 320Runs Allowed 321

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	19% 11/57	18% 10/57	19% 11/57	#230% 17/57	#330% 17/57	26% 15/57	28% 16/57	30% 17/57	#131% 14/45	100% 4/4
Padres	RA	#325% 14/57	#130% 17/57	23% 13/57	#226% 15/57	25% 14/57	25% 14/57	25% 14/57	23% 13/57	12% 6/48	50% 2/4
Nationals	R	#134% 20/59	27% 16/59	#234% 20/59	#332% 19/59	32% 19/59	29% 17/59	31% 18/59	29% 17/59	23% 11/48	57% 8/14
Nationals	RA	25% 15/59	29% 17/59	#334% 20/59	#137% 22/59	#236% 21/59	20% 12/59	34% 20/59	29% 17/59	33% 16/49	71% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.