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Final
2021-10-0208:15Busch Stadium
Cubs
Away
3-4
Cardinals
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs000003000381
Cardinals100101001X490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
61%
+5pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
035701051408411017594291783811034761125661126728978169852429151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 693Runs Allowed 828

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
03468102137109821737728981368864845856976666757636285456920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 660
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#328% 44/15926% 41/159#132% 51/159#231% 50/15926% 42/15923% 36/15925% 39/15726% 40/15324% 30/12471% 10/14
RA#331% 50/15926% 42/15929% 46/15931% 50/159#233% 53/159#135% 56/15926% 42/15920% 30/15321% 23/11271% 10/14
CardinalsR#137% 59/159#329% 46/159#231% 50/15925% 39/15925% 40/15924% 38/15925% 39/15824% 36/15125% 28/11382% 9/11
RA25% 40/15923% 37/159#227% 43/159#131% 50/15925% 39/159#326% 42/15923% 36/15721% 31/15122% 27/12127% 3/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.