Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-10-0206:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

2-9

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0
Pirates	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	X	9	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-1pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

54%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 772Runs Allowed 740

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 589Runs Allowed 819

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	28% 45/159	26% 41/159	#230% 47/159	23% 37/159	#330% 47/159	28% 44/158	29% 45/157	26% 40/155	#130% 35/118	68% 17/25
Reds	RA	#136% 57/159	21% 34/159	28% 44/159	#328% 45/159	26% 41/159	27% 42/158	23% 36/158	#230% 46/155	28% 34/123	56% 14/25
Pirates	R	#126% 41/159	19% 30/159	23% 37/159	24% 38/159	23% 36/159	#225% 40/159	#324% 38/156	19% 28/150	21% 27/127	58% 7/12
Pirates	RA	#236% 57/159	#336% 57/159	34% 54/159	25% 40/159	30% 47/159	#137% 59/159	33% 52/157	24% 36/151	22% 22/98	42% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.