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Final
2021-10-0107:20Truist Park
3-5
Braves
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Phillies000000210351
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Braves defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Braves offense × Phillies defense
35%R 20% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
51%
-5pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
03366991338479162692748637970475745827567992710696859789211310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 721Runs Allowed 732

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games
0336710013410789155502928438964410383598686818278756845509141810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 771Runs Allowed 644
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#132% 50/15823% 37/15825% 40/15826% 41/158#328% 45/15828% 45/15824% 38/157#231% 47/15425% 29/11675% 12/16
RA24% 38/15822% 35/15829% 46/15822% 35/15823% 37/15828% 44/158#331% 48/157#232% 49/154#135% 41/11750% 8/16
BravesR#334% 54/15719% 30/15734% 54/15726% 41/157#136% 57/157#236% 57/15729% 45/15625% 36/14527% 31/11439% 7/18
RA#132% 50/15722% 35/157#329% 45/15724% 38/15725% 40/15724% 37/157#230% 47/15525% 36/14528% 33/11967% 12/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.