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Final
2021-10-0107:10Citi Field
3-12
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 47%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
45%R 30% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
59%
+3pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
03265971307378177712696234810446288577606625977686851579171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 612Runs Allowed 679

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
0285785114759114576265613727446685579766805575771852479241510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 615Runs Allowed 651
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 39/158#127% 42/15822% 34/15819% 30/158#326% 41/15825% 40/15824% 37/157#226% 40/15321% 26/12160% 12/20
RA#330% 47/15823% 36/15824% 38/158#132% 51/158#232% 51/15822% 34/15722% 34/15428% 43/15328% 32/11450% 10/20
MetsR27% 43/15815% 23/15826% 41/158#328% 45/15825% 40/15826% 41/158#132% 48/14927% 36/135#230% 31/10561% 11/18
RA#329% 46/15826% 41/15822% 34/15822% 35/158#130% 48/158#230% 47/15822% 34/15327% 36/13526% 25/9756% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.