Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-10-0107:10

Rays

Away

2-3

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	0
Astros	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	X	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 29%

Astros scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.8

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Astros defense

38%R 55% · RA 20%

Astros offense × Rays defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

45%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

51%

-5pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 839Runs Allowed 642

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 837Runs Allowed 638

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	32% 51/158	22% 34/158	27% 42/158	31% 49/158	#135% 56/158	#334% 53/158	30% 47/156	33% 51/156	#235% 39/112	41% 12/29
Rays	RA	26% 41/158	23% 37/158	#130% 47/158	#230% 47/158	#327% 43/158	25% 39/158	22% 34/158	23% 36/156	21% 28/136	66% 19/29
Astros	R	#234% 53/158	25% 39/158	27% 43/158	#140% 63/158	#332% 50/158	30% 48/158	27% 43/158	26% 41/156	31% 36/117	64% 16/25
Astros	RA	22% 34/158	18% 28/158	#328% 45/158	24% 38/158	#229% 46/158	#130% 47/158	25% 39/157	28% 44/156	22% 28/128	60% 15/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.