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Final
2021-09-3008:10Kauffman Stadium
5-10
Royals
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Guardians1012100005111
Royals32000032X10110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Guardians scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Royals scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.8
Guardians scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 28%
Royals scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#3
Inn.3
Guardians scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Royals defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Royals offense × Guardians defense
48%R 55% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 85% · Season 61% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-3pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
61%
+5pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games
03163951279185154952869538299467785101596718277652847469141210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 689Runs Allowed 703

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games
035701051407711215371282933848848085570786877976390855509101410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 661Runs Allowed 760
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR#330% 47/15725% 39/15728% 44/15727% 43/15725% 40/157#136% 57/15725% 39/155#233% 47/14324% 27/11147% 8/17
RA#332% 50/15731% 48/157#233% 52/157#135% 55/15726% 41/15723% 36/15728% 43/15421% 30/14325% 28/11447% 8/17
RoyalsR27% 43/15720% 32/157#331% 49/157#232% 50/15731% 49/15724% 38/157#132% 51/15725% 38/15129% 34/11950% 7/14
RA#134% 53/15726% 41/15732% 50/15732% 50/157#234% 53/15728% 44/15724% 38/156#332% 49/15130% 34/11457% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.