Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2908:10

Rays

Away

3-4

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2X	4	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 29%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Astros defense

38%R 55% · RA 20%

Astros offense × Rays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

54%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 829Runs Allowed 638

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 833Runs Allowed 628

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	32% 50/156	21% 33/156	27% 42/156	31% 49/156	#135% 55/156	#334% 53/156	31% 47/154	32% 50/154	#235% 38/110	41% 12/29
Rays	RA	26% 41/156	24% 37/156	#130% 47/156	#230% 47/156	#328% 43/156	24% 38/156	22% 34/156	23% 35/154	20% 27/134	66% 19/29
Astros	R	#234% 53/156	25% 39/156	28% 43/156	#140% 63/156	#332% 50/156	30% 47/156	28% 43/156	26% 40/154	30% 35/115	64% 16/25
Astros	RA	21% 33/156	17% 27/156	#229% 45/156	24% 38/156	#329% 45/156	#130% 47/156	25% 39/155	28% 43/154	21% 27/126	60% 15/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.