Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2907:20Truist Park

Phillies

Away

1-2

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	1
Braves	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	X	2	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Braves defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Braves offense × Phillies defense

35%R 20% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

59%

+6pp

F5 first five

53%

-3pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 718Runs Allowed 723

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 762Runs Allowed 641

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#132% 50/156	23% 36/156	26% 40/156	26% 41/156	#329% 45/156	28% 44/156	25% 38/155	#231% 47/152	25% 28/114	75% 12/16
Phillies	RA	24% 37/156	22% 35/156	28% 44/156	22% 35/156	24% 37/156	28% 44/156	#330% 47/155	#232% 49/152	#135% 41/117	50% 8/16
Braves	R	#334% 53/155	19% 30/155	34% 52/155	26% 41/155	#137% 57/155	#237% 57/155	29% 44/154	25% 36/143	27% 31/114	39% 7/18
Braves	RA	#132% 50/155	22% 34/155	#329% 45/155	25% 38/155	26% 40/155	23% 36/155	#231% 47/153	25% 36/143	27% 32/117	67% 12/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.