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Final
2021-09-2904:10Citi Field
2-5
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins0002000--253
Mets102002--X580

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 60%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 26%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
40%R 20% · RA 60%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 56% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
62%
+6pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
03264961297377176712696034610346286577586625977386851569171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 606Runs Allowed 670

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0285785114749114575263613717246485577766805575768851479241510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 606Runs Allowed 645
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 39/155#126% 41/15522% 34/15519% 29/155#226% 41/15526% 40/15524% 37/154#326% 39/15122% 26/11960% 12/20
RA#330% 46/15523% 36/15524% 37/155#132% 50/155#232% 49/15521% 33/15422% 34/15228% 43/15128% 31/11250% 10/20
MetsR27% 42/15515% 23/15526% 40/155#328% 44/15525% 38/15526% 40/155#133% 48/14727% 36/133#229% 30/10361% 11/18
RA#330% 46/15526% 40/15522% 34/15522% 34/155#131% 48/155#230% 47/15523% 34/15026% 35/13326% 25/9556% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.