Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2704:10Petco Park

Braves

Away

4-3

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	10	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

46%

Own scoring 41%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 17%

Opponent allowing 19%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Padres defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Padres offense × Braves defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 80% · Season 61% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-2pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 758Runs Allowed 638

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 706Runs Allowed 667

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#334% 53/154	19% 29/154	34% 52/154	26% 40/154	#137% 57/154	#236% 56/154	29% 44/153	25% 36/142	27% 31/113	39% 7/18
Braves	RA	#132% 50/154	22% 34/154	#329% 45/154	25% 38/154	25% 39/154	23% 36/154	#231% 47/152	25% 36/142	28% 32/116	67% 12/18
Padres	R	#330% 46/155	#130% 47/155	25% 39/155	26% 40/155	21% 33/155	#230% 46/154	29% 45/154	24% 36/151	29% 32/111	46% 12/26
Padres	RA	26% 40/155	26% 40/155	#130% 46/155	28% 43/155	#230% 46/155	26% 40/154	25% 38/154	#328% 43/151	21% 24/117	42% 11/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.