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Final
2021-09-2702:20Wrigley Field
4-2
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals001000012470
Cubs000200000281

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 60%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
45%R 30% · RA 60%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 55% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+8pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
03468102137109811727728780366804825856674665747626285256920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 681Runs Allowed 649

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
035701051408310716994288773791034701125661066708878168852409151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 673Runs Allowed 814
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#138% 59/155#329% 45/155#231% 48/15525% 38/15525% 39/15523% 36/15525% 38/15424% 35/14724% 27/11182% 9/11
RA25% 39/15524% 37/155#227% 42/155#130% 47/15525% 39/155#326% 41/15523% 35/15321% 31/14723% 27/11727% 3/11
CubsR#328% 43/15526% 40/155#132% 50/155#232% 49/15525% 39/15523% 36/15525% 38/15327% 40/14925% 30/12071% 10/14
RA32% 49/15527% 42/15529% 45/155#332% 50/155#234% 53/155#135% 54/15526% 41/15519% 29/14920% 22/10971% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.