Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-3107:15Busch Stadium

Cubs

Away

6-1

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	6	12	0
Cardinals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cardinals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cooling downCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 73% · Season 60% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

38%

-14pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+10pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 277Runs Allowed 259

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 250

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	19% 11/58	#233% 19/58	26% 15/58	#331% 18/58	24% 14/58	28% 16/58	29% 17/58	31% 18/58	#135% 16/46	71% 5/7
Cubs	RA	22% 13/58	31% 18/58	29% 17/58	29% 17/58	#133% 19/58	#233% 19/58	19% 11/58	#333% 19/58	21% 9/43	29% 2/7
Cardinals	R	25% 14/55	15% 8/55	#233% 18/55	#327% 15/55	27% 15/55	27% 15/55	25% 14/55	#140% 22/55	20% 9/45	67% 8/12
Cardinals	RA	#235% 19/55	24% 13/55	11% 6/55	33% 18/55	#335% 19/55	35% 19/55	16% 9/55	33% 18/55	#138% 17/45	50% 6/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.