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Final
2021-09-2702:10Target Field
5-2
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays030010010590
Twins010010000280

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
36%R 42% · RA 30%
Sample 19Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 69% · Season 50% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-3pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
57%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0367210814594701887021168739158410269596676776677375856449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 803Runs Allowed 634

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0387711615594811581002838938490478124596806587878769830659272510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 801
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 44/15532% 50/155#136% 56/15530% 47/155#234% 53/15532% 50/15527% 42/153#332% 45/13926% 27/10250% 8/16
RA24% 37/15524% 37/15526% 40/15521% 32/155#226% 41/155#326% 41/15524% 36/152#128% 39/13924% 26/10862% 10/16
TwinsR#135% 55/15522% 34/15530% 46/15527% 42/15528% 44/155#235% 55/15521% 33/154#332% 47/14518% 21/11748% 13/27
RA28% 43/155#233% 51/155#331% 48/15531% 48/155#137% 58/15530% 46/15526% 40/15130% 43/14529% 32/11059% 16/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.