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Final
2021-09-2701:10Tropicana Field
2-3
Rays
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Marlins000000101261
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Rays defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Marlins defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 77% · Season 60% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+10pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
59%
+3pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03264961297375176712696034610346285577586615977386850569171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 604Runs Allowed 667

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
034691031389374174612838438390494755956168854711065879349273810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 826Runs Allowed 636
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 39/154#127% 41/15422% 34/15419% 29/154#227% 41/15426% 40/15424% 36/153#326% 39/15021% 25/11860% 12/20
RA#329% 45/15423% 36/15424% 37/154#132% 50/154#231% 48/15422% 33/15323% 34/15129% 43/15028% 31/11250% 10/20
RaysR32% 49/15521% 33/15527% 42/15532% 49/155#135% 54/155#334% 53/15531% 47/15333% 50/153#235% 38/11041% 12/29
RA26% 41/15524% 37/155#130% 47/155#230% 47/155#328% 43/15525% 38/15521% 33/15523% 35/15320% 26/13366% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.