Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2701:10Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

2-9

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	2	X	9	14	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 31%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 44%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 75% · Season 61% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

63%

+10pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

60%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 701Runs Allowed 778

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 748Runs Allowed 724

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#135% 54/155	24% 37/155	#232% 49/155	#332% 49/155	23% 36/155	26% 40/154	26% 40/151	25% 36/142	30% 34/115	31% 4/13
Nationals	RA	33% 51/155	21% 33/155	32% 49/155	31% 48/155	#134% 53/155	30% 46/154	#234% 52/153	28% 40/142	#333% 35/106	85% 11/13
Reds	R	28% 44/155	26% 41/155	#130% 47/155	23% 36/155	#329% 45/155	27% 42/154	29% 44/153	26% 39/151	#229% 34/116	68% 17/25
Reds	RA	#136% 56/155	21% 33/155	#328% 43/155	28% 43/155	25% 38/155	27% 41/154	23% 35/154	#230% 45/151	27% 33/121	56% 14/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.