Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2607:15Petco Park

Braves

Away

10-8

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	2	0	1	4	0	0	1	2	10	13	0
Padres	1	2	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	8	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Padres defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Padres offense × Braves defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-7pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

56%

+0pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 748Runs Allowed 630

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 698Runs Allowed 657

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#335% 53/153	19% 29/153	33% 51/153	26% 40/153	#137% 56/153	#236% 55/153	29% 44/152	26% 36/141	27% 30/112	35% 6/17
Braves	RA	#132% 49/153	22% 33/153	#329% 45/153	25% 38/153	25% 38/153	23% 35/153	#231% 47/151	26% 36/141	28% 32/115	71% 12/17
Padres	R	29% 45/154	#130% 46/154	25% 39/154	26% 40/154	21% 32/154	#229% 45/153	#329% 45/153	24% 36/150	29% 32/110	48% 12/25
Padres	RA	26% 40/154	26% 40/154	#129% 45/154	28% 43/154	#229% 45/154	25% 39/153	25% 38/153	#329% 43/150	20% 23/116	40% 10/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.