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Final
2021-09-2607:10Target Field
6-1
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0200012106110
Twins100000000132

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0367210814594691867021168739158410269595676756677275856449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 797Runs Allowed 633

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
038771161559381158982838938490478124596796587678768830659272510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 694Runs Allowed 795
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 44/15432% 49/154#136% 56/15431% 47/154#234% 53/15432% 49/15427% 41/152#332% 44/13827% 27/10150% 8/16
RA23% 36/15424% 37/15426% 40/15421% 32/154#227% 41/154#327% 41/15424% 36/151#128% 39/13824% 26/10762% 10/16
TwinsR#235% 54/15422% 34/15430% 46/15427% 42/15429% 44/154#136% 55/15422% 33/153#333% 47/14418% 21/11648% 13/27
RA28% 43/154#232% 50/154#331% 48/15431% 48/154#138% 58/15429% 45/15426% 39/15029% 42/14429% 32/10959% 16/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.