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Final
2021-09-2607:10Great American Ball Park
6-7
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals1031001006111
Reds021020101X7110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Reds offense × Nationals defense
25%R 15% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 66% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
57%
+1pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03367101135108951656428886394884689757496671847687785266971810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 771

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03264961288492183492102813678848071577826845877598861639283610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 741Runs Allowed 718
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 53/15424% 37/154#231% 48/154#331% 48/15423% 36/15426% 40/15326% 39/15026% 36/14130% 34/11431% 4/13
RA#333% 51/15421% 32/15431% 48/15431% 48/154#134% 52/15430% 46/153#234% 51/15228% 40/14132% 34/10585% 11/13
RedsR#329% 44/15426% 40/154#130% 46/15423% 36/15429% 44/15427% 42/15328% 43/15226% 39/150#229% 33/11568% 17/25
RA#136% 55/15421% 33/15427% 42/15427% 42/15425% 38/15427% 41/15322% 34/153#230% 45/150#328% 33/12056% 14/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.