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Final
2021-09-2606:10Tropicana Field
3-7
Rays
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Marlins0010011003132
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 31%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Rays defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Marlins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
59%
+3pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
03264961287375176712686034610246283576576605877384850569171410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 601Runs Allowed 660

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
033671011359374174612838338290492755946068753710865879349273810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 819Runs Allowed 633
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 39/153#127% 41/15322% 33/15319% 29/153#227% 41/15325% 39/15323% 35/152#326% 39/14921% 25/11760% 12/20
RA#329% 45/15324% 36/15324% 37/153#132% 49/153#231% 47/15321% 32/15222% 33/15028% 42/14928% 31/11250% 10/20
RaysR32% 49/15421% 33/15427% 42/15431% 48/154#234% 53/154#334% 52/15430% 46/15232% 49/152#135% 38/11041% 12/29
RA27% 41/15424% 37/154#230% 46/154#131% 47/154#328% 43/15424% 37/15421% 32/15423% 35/15220% 26/13266% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.