Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-3104:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

1-6

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
Mets	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	X	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+0pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

61%

+7pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 248Runs Allowed 263

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 223Runs Allowed 250

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#236% 21/58	31% 18/58	24% 14/58	#333% 19/58	26% 15/58	22% 13/58	19% 11/58	#138% 22/58	21% 9/43	75% 3/4
Marlins	RA	#134% 20/58	19% 11/58	29% 17/58	28% 16/58	#234% 20/58	#334% 20/58	12% 7/58	29% 17/58	26% 11/43	100% 4/4
Mets	R	#228% 16/57	#132% 18/57	18% 10/57	23% 13/57	23% 13/57	#326% 15/57	26% 15/57	21% 12/57	12% 6/49	67% 10/15
Mets	RA	#330% 17/57	30% 17/57	#235% 20/57	21% 12/57	16% 9/57	#137% 21/57	21% 12/57	26% 15/57	21% 9/43	53% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.