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Final
2021-09-2602:20Wrigley Field
8-5
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals010100303891
Cubs0022000015110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 60%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 39%
Cubs scoring tendency
17%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 11%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
45%R 30% · RA 60%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 55% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
62%
+6pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
03468102137109811717728778365784825856674662747626284955920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 673Runs Allowed 644

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
035701051408310716993286773771024701125661066708578168851379151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 668Runs Allowed 806
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#138% 59/154#329% 44/154#231% 48/15424% 37/15425% 39/15423% 36/15424% 37/15324% 35/14624% 26/11082% 9/11
RA25% 39/15424% 37/154#227% 41/154#130% 46/15425% 39/154#327% 41/15423% 35/15221% 31/14622% 26/11627% 3/11
CubsR#328% 43/15426% 40/154#132% 49/154#231% 48/15425% 39/15423% 36/15425% 38/15227% 40/14824% 29/11971% 10/14
RA#332% 49/15427% 41/15429% 45/15432% 49/154#234% 53/154#135% 54/15426% 40/15420% 29/14819% 21/10871% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.