Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2510:10Petco Park

Braves

Away

4-0

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	7	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Padres defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Braves defense

32%R 20% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 61% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-7pp

7–9 Late

62%

+9pp

F5 first five

55%

-0pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 744Runs Allowed 630

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 698Runs Allowed 653

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#334% 52/152	18% 28/152	34% 51/152	26% 40/152	#137% 56/152	#236% 54/152	29% 44/151	26% 36/140	27% 30/111	35% 6/17
Braves	RA	#132% 49/152	22% 33/152	#330% 45/152	25% 38/152	25% 38/152	23% 35/152	#231% 47/150	26% 36/140	28% 32/114	71% 12/17
Padres	R	29% 45/153	#130% 46/153	25% 39/153	26% 40/153	21% 32/153	#230% 45/152	#330% 45/152	24% 36/149	29% 32/109	48% 12/25
Padres	RA	25% 39/153	25% 39/153	#129% 45/153	28% 43/153	#229% 45/153	25% 38/152	25% 38/152	#329% 43/149	20% 23/115	40% 10/25

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.