Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2508:10Target Field

Blue Jays

Away

1-3

Twins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	0
Twins	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	X	3	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Blue Jays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Twins scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 42%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.5

Blue Jays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Twins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Twins offense × Blue Jays defense

39%R 42% · RA 35%

Sample 19Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 69% · Season 50% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

57%

-0pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

62%

+7pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 796Runs Allowed 630

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 691Runs Allowed 794

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	29% 44/153	32% 49/153	#137% 56/153	31% 47/153	#235% 53/153	31% 48/153	27% 41/151	#332% 44/137	27% 27/100	50% 8/16
Blue Jays	RA	24% 36/153	24% 37/153	25% 39/153	21% 32/153	#227% 41/153	#327% 41/153	24% 36/150	#128% 39/137	24% 26/107	62% 10/16
Twins	R	#235% 54/153	22% 34/153	29% 45/153	27% 42/153	29% 44/153	#136% 55/153	22% 33/152	#333% 47/143	18% 21/116	48% 13/27
Twins	RA	28% 43/153	#233% 50/153	#331% 48/153	31% 48/153	#138% 58/153	29% 44/153	26% 39/149	29% 42/143	30% 32/108	59% 16/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.