Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2507:10Tropicana Field

Marlins

Away

0-8

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
Rays	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	X	8	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 31%

Rays scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 27%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Rays defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Rays offense × Marlins defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

54%

+1pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 601Runs Allowed 652

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 811Runs Allowed 633

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	26% 39/152	#127% 41/152	22% 33/152	19% 29/152	#227% 41/152	26% 39/152	23% 35/151	#326% 39/148	22% 25/116	60% 12/20
Marlins	RA	#329% 44/152	24% 36/152	24% 37/152	#132% 48/152	#230% 46/152	21% 32/151	21% 32/149	28% 42/148	28% 31/112	50% 10/20
Rays	R	31% 48/153	22% 33/153	27% 42/153	31% 47/153	#234% 52/153	#334% 52/153	30% 45/151	32% 49/151	#135% 38/110	41% 12/29
Rays	RA	27% 41/153	24% 37/153	#230% 46/153	#131% 47/153	#328% 43/153	24% 37/153	21% 32/153	23% 35/151	20% 26/131	66% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.