Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2507:10Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

7-8

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Nationals	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7	9	0
Reds	0	0	2	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	1X	8	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 18%

Opponent allowing 29%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 47%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

28%R 15% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 66% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

60%

+7pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 688Runs Allowed 763

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 733Runs Allowed 711

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#134% 52/153	24% 36/153	#331% 47/153	#231% 48/153	24% 36/153	26% 40/152	26% 39/149	26% 36/140	29% 33/113	36% 4/11
Nationals	RA	#133% 51/153	21% 32/153	31% 47/153	31% 48/153	#233% 51/153	30% 45/152	#333% 50/151	29% 40/140	33% 34/104	91% 10/11
Reds	R	#329% 44/153	26% 40/153	#129% 45/153	24% 36/153	28% 43/153	27% 41/152	28% 42/151	26% 39/149	#229% 33/114	70% 16/23
Reds	RA	#135% 54/153	21% 32/153	27% 41/153	#327% 42/153	25% 38/153	27% 41/152	22% 34/152	#230% 45/149	27% 32/119	61% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.