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Final
2021-09-2508:05Wrigley Field
12-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals3320103--12160
Cubs2010100--470

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-3pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
58%
+2pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0336699133106791687728377365784775756469659747626284955920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 653Runs Allowed 635

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
033671001348110416990285733771024691075611046708278168851379151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 659Runs Allowed 786
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#138% 58/152#328% 43/152#230% 46/15224% 37/15224% 37/15223% 35/15224% 36/15124% 35/14624% 26/11082% 9/11
RA25% 38/15224% 37/152#226% 40/152#130% 46/15225% 38/152#326% 40/15223% 35/15021% 31/14622% 26/11627% 3/11
CubsR#328% 42/15226% 40/152#132% 48/152#232% 48/15225% 38/15223% 35/15225% 38/15027% 40/14824% 29/11971% 10/14
RA32% 48/15226% 40/15228% 43/152#332% 49/152#234% 51/152#135% 53/15226% 39/15220% 29/14819% 21/10871% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.