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Final
2021-09-2407:40Target Field
2-7
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0101000002111
Twins00204010X7131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
36%R 37% · RA 35%
Sample 19Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 66% · Season 49% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
0367210814594691857021168239058410265594676756577275856449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 794Runs Allowed 623

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
038771161559381158972788938489474124596786577678768830659272510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 684Runs Allowed 792
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 44/15232% 48/152#137% 56/15230% 46/152#235% 53/15232% 48/15227% 41/150#332% 44/13627% 27/9950% 8/16
RA24% 36/15224% 37/15225% 38/15221% 32/152#326% 40/152#227% 41/15223% 35/149#129% 39/13624% 26/10762% 10/16
TwinsR#236% 54/15222% 34/15229% 44/15228% 42/15228% 43/152#136% 55/15221% 32/151#333% 47/14218% 21/11648% 13/27
RA28% 43/152#232% 49/152#332% 48/15231% 47/152#138% 58/15229% 44/15226% 39/14830% 42/14230% 32/10759% 16/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.