Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2407:05Citizens Bank Park

Pirates

Away

6-12

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	6	0
Phillies	0	0	5	0	0	3	2	2	X	12	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.5

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Phillies defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Phillies offense × Pirates defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

53%

+0pp

F5 first five

51%

-5pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 560Runs Allowed 765

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 695Runs Allowed 705

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#126% 39/151	19% 29/151	24% 36/151	#325% 37/151	23% 35/151	#225% 38/151	24% 35/148	19% 27/142	22% 26/120	58% 7/12
Pirates	RA	#336% 55/151	#137% 56/151	33% 50/151	25% 38/151	28% 42/151	#237% 56/151	32% 48/149	24% 35/143	23% 22/94	42% 5/12
Phillies	R	#133% 50/152	24% 36/152	24% 37/152	26% 40/152	#328% 43/152	28% 42/152	24% 36/151	#231% 46/148	25% 28/113	75% 12/16
Phillies	RA	24% 36/152	22% 34/152	28% 43/152	22% 34/152	24% 37/152	29% 44/152	#330% 45/151	#232% 48/148	#135% 40/113	50% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.