Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2406:40Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

3-2

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	8	1
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

28%R 15% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 66% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 685Runs Allowed 761

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 731Runs Allowed 708

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#134% 52/152	24% 36/152	#330% 46/152	#232% 48/152	24% 36/152	26% 39/151	26% 38/148	26% 36/139	29% 33/112	36% 4/11
Nationals	RA	#134% 51/152	21% 32/152	31% 47/152	32% 48/152	#234% 51/152	30% 45/151	#333% 50/150	29% 40/139	32% 33/103	91% 10/11
Reds	R	#229% 44/152	26% 40/152	#130% 45/152	24% 36/152	28% 43/152	27% 41/151	28% 42/150	26% 39/148	#328% 32/113	70% 16/23
Reds	RA	#136% 54/152	21% 32/152	26% 40/152	#328% 42/152	25% 38/152	26% 40/151	22% 33/151	#230% 45/148	27% 32/118	61% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.