Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2307:40Wrigley Field

Twins

Away

5-4

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	5	9	0
Cubs	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Twins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Twins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Cubs defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Cubs offense × Twins defense

28%R 35% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

48%

-5pp

F5 first five

62%

+6pp

F9 full game

55%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 679Runs Allowed 788

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 655Runs Allowed 781

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#235% 53/151	23% 34/151	29% 44/151	27% 41/151	28% 43/151	#136% 54/151	21% 32/150	#333% 47/141	17% 20/115	48% 13/27
Twins	RA	28% 43/151	#232% 48/151	#332% 48/151	31% 47/151	#138% 58/151	29% 44/151	27% 39/147	30% 42/141	29% 31/106	59% 16/27
Cubs	R	#328% 42/151	26% 39/151	#132% 48/151	#232% 48/151	25% 38/151	23% 35/151	26% 38/149	27% 40/147	24% 28/118	71% 10/14
Cubs	RA	31% 47/151	26% 40/151	28% 43/151	#332% 48/151	#234% 51/151	#134% 52/151	26% 39/151	20% 29/147	19% 20/107	71% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.