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Final
2021-09-2303:10Tropicana Field
1-7
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 38%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 62% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+3pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
62%
+6pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
0367210814594691857021167639057410265593676756577275856449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 793Runs Allowed 616

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games
033671011359074174612778337990490755945968653710865879349273810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 804Runs Allowed 632
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 44/15132% 48/151#137% 56/15130% 46/151#235% 53/15131% 47/15128% 41/149#333% 44/13528% 27/9850% 8/16
RA24% 36/15125% 37/15125% 37/15121% 31/151#326% 40/151#227% 41/15124% 35/148#129% 39/13524% 26/10762% 10/16
RaysR32% 48/15222% 33/15227% 41/15230% 46/152#234% 52/152#334% 52/15230% 45/15033% 49/150#135% 38/11041% 12/29
RA27% 41/15224% 37/152#230% 46/152#131% 47/152#328% 43/15224% 36/15221% 32/15223% 35/15020% 26/13066% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.