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Final
2021-09-2207:40Wrigley Field
Twins
Away
9-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Twins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Twins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.3
Twins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Cubs defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Cubs offense × Twins defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
59%
+3pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
038771161558980158942788838089472124595766557678768829639272510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 670Runs Allowed 783

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
0336699132801001669028473377984691055591036708078168849369151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 650Runs Allowed 772
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
TwinsR#235% 52/15023% 34/15029% 44/15027% 40/15028% 42/150#136% 54/15021% 31/149#334% 47/14018% 20/11448% 13/27
RA28% 42/150#231% 47/150#331% 47/15031% 47/150#139% 58/15029% 43/15027% 39/14630% 42/14030% 31/10559% 16/27
CubsR27% 41/15025% 38/150#231% 47/150#132% 48/15025% 38/15023% 34/15026% 38/148#327% 40/14624% 28/11771% 10/14
RA31% 46/15027% 40/15029% 43/150#331% 47/150#233% 50/150#135% 52/15025% 38/15020% 29/14619% 20/10671% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.