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Final
2021-09-2207:10Tropicana Field
4-2
Rays
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Blue Jays001011010480
Rays010010000250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 44%
Rays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
45%R 45% · RA 44%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
26%R 27% · RA 25%
Sample 11Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
63%
+10pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
0367210814494691856921157639057410164592676756577175856449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 789Runs Allowed 614

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
033671011359074173612778237990489745945868653710864879349273810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 802Runs Allowed 628
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 44/15032% 48/150#137% 55/15031% 46/150#235% 52/15031% 46/15028% 41/148#332% 43/13428% 27/9750% 8/16
RA24% 36/15024% 36/15025% 37/15021% 31/150#326% 39/150#227% 41/15024% 35/147#129% 39/13425% 26/10662% 10/16
RaysR32% 48/15121% 32/15127% 41/15130% 46/151#334% 51/151#234% 52/15130% 45/14933% 49/149#135% 38/10941% 12/29
RA27% 41/15125% 37/151#230% 45/151#131% 47/151#328% 42/15123% 35/15121% 32/15123% 34/14920% 26/12966% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.