Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-2206:40Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

6-2

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	0	6	10	0
Reds	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 31%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 27%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.5

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-7pp

7–9 Late

51%

-2pp

F5 first five

53%

-3pp

F9 full game

52%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 554Runs Allowed 763

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 729Runs Allowed 702

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#126% 39/150	19% 29/150	#324% 36/150	24% 36/150	23% 34/150	#225% 38/150	24% 35/147	18% 26/141	22% 26/119	58% 7/12
Pirates	RA	#237% 55/150	#337% 55/150	33% 50/150	25% 37/150	28% 42/150	#137% 56/150	32% 48/148	25% 35/142	24% 22/93	42% 5/12
Reds	R	#229% 44/151	26% 39/151	#130% 45/151	23% 35/151	28% 43/151	27% 41/150	28% 42/149	27% 39/147	#329% 32/112	70% 16/23
Reds	RA	#136% 54/151	21% 32/151	26% 40/151	27% 41/151	25% 37/151	27% 40/150	22% 33/150	#230% 44/147	#327% 32/117	61% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.