Sportify
Final
2026-05-3104:05Nationals Park
Padres
Away
4-9
Team123456789RHE
Padres010110010461
Nationals00100062X980

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Padres defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 62% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
012243649152711339220213322542824523256262672524832797210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 221Runs Allowed 220

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
014294459472913437225303374543435524326383173735821229142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 311Runs Allowed 317
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR20% 11/5616% 9/5620% 11/56#229% 16/56#329% 16/5627% 15/5629% 16/5629% 16/56#132% 14/44100% 4/4
RA#325% 14/56#130% 17/5621% 12/56#227% 15/5625% 14/5625% 14/5623% 13/5621% 12/5612% 6/4850% 2/4
NationalsR#134% 20/5828% 16/58#233% 19/58#333% 19/5833% 19/5829% 17/5829% 17/5828% 16/5823% 11/4857% 8/14
RA26% 15/5828% 16/58#234% 20/58#136% 21/58#334% 20/5821% 12/5834% 20/5828% 16/5833% 16/4871% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.